Is It Really Red States Vs. Blue States?

Or is it red counties vs. blue counties?

It seems that the real disparity is between urban and rural voters. The urban areas are heavily Democratic, the rural areas are heavily Republican and the suburbs are slightly Republican.

For example, Pennsylvania is a "blue state". Yet, its non-urban areas are just as "red" as the non-urban areas of Ohio and Indiana. The difference between the results in Pennsylvania and Ohio is that the urban to rural ratio is high enough, due to Philadelphia, to allow Pennsylvania to go "blue".

The real contrast may be between "ghetto America" and "gun-rack America". Increasingly, the Democratic base is becoming that of merely inner-city African-Americans. Although the base also consists of upper-class elitist whites ("eggheads"), unions and homosexuals, those groups cannot deliver enough votes. In particular, the union vote is diminshing in size.

The Democratic emphasis on turnout is quite logical ... and quite disturbing if you are a Democrat. Instead of increasing the breadth of the base, Democrats continue to rest their hopes on increasing the turnout of a diminishing base. The mathematics of the issue do not work in the long-run and the long-run may just have arrived.