Saturday, July 09, 2005

Debut: Just One Man's Opinion - 01 July 2005

Editor's note: tandapundit is proud to welcome an exciting new contributer - JMac. He will write a continuing series of columns entitled "Just One Man's Opinion". The columns will focus primarily on finance and investment. The debut column follows immediately below.

by JMac

Altria- buy & hold; dividend play

Boeing- Buy & hold 3 yrs

Coke- Stumbling giant; buy on 5% pull back

Pepsi- Buy & hold 3yrs

Starbucks- Buy, its China Stupid!

Avon- They love it is Asia, so should you

Procter & Gamble- Buy & hold, dividend play

Johnson & Johnson- see P&G

Wal-Mart- 168 new stores in China, enuff said?

Microsoft- a bargain at these prices and: the cash!!!! OH! the Cash!!!!!!!!!!!

Intel- best of breed

Weyerhouser- Buy great real estate play

St. Joes of Florida- see Weyerhouser

SBC- ok for income, but not growth

Target- next to Wal-Mart, best of breed

Sears Holdings- great real estate play with acquistion of K-Mart

GM- are u a gambler? a long shot, BUT Kerkorian must know something !!??

Ford- ForDget about it ! Can you say Chapter 11 ?

Chrysler- dead money

Citgroup- If they are successful in current effort to break into China & India its a great buy.

FedEX- with e-retailing growing @ 33% per year they will benefit and they having ability to pass along higher fuel costs.

UPS- see FEDEX

Exxon- BUY and hold...............FOREVER!!!!!! Your great-great grandchildren will thank you, they ONLY make 20% return on equity, 200 mil barrels in proven reserves

Wendy's- if you think they may spin-off the real estate and Tim Hortons then buy

Sysco Foods- solid company, no interest rate nor oil price worries, buy & hold

Lucent- could be come-back story of the year, or.........could not....like to gamble?

Dupont- if oil falls below $52 BUY-BUY-BUY

Dow Chemical- see Dupont

Eastman Chemical see Dupont

Drug Stocks in general- Scarrrry! if Dems capture the House in 2006, look out below !!! Pfizer is OK for now

Airline Stocks in general- RUN ! RUN ! RUNAWAY !!!!!! if you must, Southwest, IF oil breaks under $50

Home builders in general- if you think Fed raises 2 or more times then avoid, if not enjoy the ride for another 6-12 mos.

Duke Energy- dividend play

Home Depot- ok, but boring

Lowes- just slightly better than Home Depot

Comcast A- solid company, good growth, buy & hold 2 yrs

Time-Warner- OK, but Parsons !!! get rid of AOL !!!!!!

Google- Frankly, I have no FREAKING idea, for day traders only

Yahoo!- OK- but like e-bay more

Apple- on 5% pull back, take small bites

Motorola- great management, big in Asia, gotta buy

Chevron-Texaco- solid buy & hold for 3 yrs

GE-buy, UNLESS you DON'T like consistent growth & income

Amazon- I am sorry Jeff, I just don't trust your numbers

Trump Casinos & Resorts- IF I were a short seller (and I am not), this would be my pick. Wynn, Edelman & Kerkorian will eat his lunch in LV, and AC is dead money.

Fortune Brands- They make the #1 golf ball in the world and it is played by the #1 golfer in the world, enuff said?

IGT- a stock nobody likes, BUT gambling is now America's favorite pastime and the politicians like the revenue they get w/o having to raise taxes.

Yellow Freight- only if oil breaks below $50 then this is best of breed

General Dynamics, Raytheon, United Tech- good for now, BUT if war in Iraq winds down and/or Dems capture House in 06, lookout below

Health care stocks in general- too much government, suggest a diversified mutual fund, e.g.Vanguard Health fund

Disney- what a mess, give Eiger 6 mos, then revisit

Verizon- nice dividend, but no real growth here

QWEST- you paid what for what ?

Tyco- too too diversified

Caterpillar-New highway construction bill and Asia growth make this a 3 yr buy & hold

TransCanada- Most people don't know Canada, not OPEC, is USA's largest supplier of oil & gas, these guys have a lot of lines and pricing power, buy

General Mills- boring, but no oil or interest worries here, solid company

Alcoa- dead money until energy prices pull back

Anheuser-Busch- Market dominator, have a Bud on me

Colgate-Palmolive- great brands buy & hold

Corning- leader in LCD's buy on ANY pull back

Iron Mountain- no, this is not a mining co, it is in document storage & retreival, 150k customers, buy on any small dip

Weight-Watchers- market dominator, eat this up !

Wal-Greens- it just keeps growing & growing buy & hold

Bank stocks in general- interest rate uncertainty and maybe more scandals for money center banks, prefer regionals like Golden West, Wells Fargo, 5th Third and National City

Oil drillers- big movers with oil above $55, pick em

IBM- buy on dips, cannot understand current business plan

Texas Instruments- good company, but don't own this & Motorola, pick one

Starbucks- believe it or not .... its CHINA stupid !!

Burlington Industries- great natural gas play, buy & hold

Suggested Portfolios -

Diversified: Avon, Exxon, P&G, J&J, Microsoft, Citigroup, Altria, FEDEX (or UPS), Intel, Boeing, Sysco Foods, AIG, Pepsi, Target, Comcast A, Harrahs.

Speculative high risk: Lucent, GM, Google, Cisco.

Income: Altria, P&G, J&J, SBC, Duke Energy, General Mills.

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